Can Indiana Make the NCAA Tournament? Breaking Down the Hoosiers’ March Madness Odds for 2025
The Indiana Hoosiers find themselves on the bubble as March Madness approaches, with their tournament hopes hinging on a strong finish to the regular season and a solid performance in the Big Ten Tournament.
Current Tournament Odds
Indiana currently has a 27% implied probability of making the NCAA Tournament as an at-large bid, according to FanDuel’s bracketology projections. A major factor in their chances is their upcoming matchup against arch-rival Purdue. A win against the Boilermakers would provide a significant boost to their resume, especially given Purdue’s struggles in recent games
The Hoosiers are also listed among the “Next Four Out” in recent bracketology discussions, meaning they are just outside of the projected tournament field. This means they need to stack up key wins and avoid bad losses down the stretch to improve their standing
What Indiana Needs to Do to Get In
Beat Purdue & Other Big Ten Opponents – Indiana’s resume lacks a signature win, and a victory over Purdue would provide a critical boost.
Strong Finish in Conference Play – The Hoosiers must perform well in their final regular-season games to avoid slipping further out of the tournament picture.
Deep Run in the Big Ten Tournament – If Indiana fails to secure a strong at-large resume, winning multiple games in the conference tournament could be their best path to securing a bid.
Outlook
Indiana’s path to the NCAA Tournament is uncertain but not impossible. If they can capitalize on their remaining opportunities, particularly against top-tier opponents like Purdue, they could work their way into the field of 68. However, they cannot afford any more missteps if they want to avoid missing March Madness
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